The record

Every Haruspex call is scored and dated before the move, then held against the market once its horizon matures. Nothing here is back-tested and nothing is re-scored after the fact.

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How the record is kept

  • Every analysis writes an evaluation record the moment it is created, with the entry date and price frozen in.
  • The record matures on its own schedule — 1, 5, 20, 90 or 252 trading days depending on the horizon — and is scored against the entry price then, not before.
  • A score of 65 or above is a buy signal. That threshold was set in advance and is not tuned to make the record look better.
  • Benchmark comparisons use SPY and QQQ over the identical window, so the market's own move is never counted as ours.
  • Nothing is published until the sample is large enough to mean something. Below that, this page says so rather than showing a number.

Past results do not predict future results. Analysis, not financial advice.